Climate-change scientists are assuring the public despite record lows nationwide, global warming is a reality. Bill Blakemore with ABC News reports researchers say it is natural to have below-normal temperatures, but they do not mean overall global temperatures are not rising. He claims the frequency of heat waves far outstrips that of cold snaps, and some locations in both the Northern and Southern Hemisphere are currently experiencing record highs.

Blakemore quotes Kevin Trenberth with the National Center for Atmospheric Research. "Weather is chaotic. It has an infinite amount of variability, and that's just the nature of weather," said Trenberth. "It's the overall pattern that gives you the climate."

Trenberth is the same scientist of Climategate fame who remarked to his colleagues last October:

Well I have my own article on where the heck is global warming? We are asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the past two days for the coldest days on record. We had 4 inches of snow. The high the last 2 days was below 30F and the normal is 69F, and it smashed the previous records for these days by 10F. The low was about 18F and also a record low, well below the previous record low. The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't.

From those remarks it does not seem Trenberth was heeding his own scientific observations the Blakemore article. Trenberth's Climategate quotes above were part of a discussion he and his colleagues had regarding an October BBC News article by Paul Hudson, "What Happened to Global Warming?" Hudson reported for more than a decade, global temperatures have been decreasing despite rises in man-made carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. He said the trend had little to do with solar cycles and a great deal to do with the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), the cycle of oceanic warming and cooling. Hudson cited research from Western Washington University predicting 30 more years of global cooling due to PDO projections, and at least one top climate modeler with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Mojib Latif, agreed with the findings.

Latif also revealed similar findings at the UN's World Climate Conference in Geneva last summer, as reported by Fred Pearce in the September 9 issue of New Scientist. Latif said cyclical changes in the Atlantic Ocean, called the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO), will mean cooler temperatures globally for the next three decades. He credited NAO and AMO with causing some of the strong warming during the past three decades as well as ending African droughts of the 1970s and 1980s. The head of climate prediction at the UK's National Weather Service (the Met Office), James Murphy, agreed and added the AMO is also a contributing factor in the loss of Arctic sea ice and in the frequency of Atlantic hurricanes and Indian monsoons. "The oceans are key to decadal natural variability," Latif said.

Nevertheless, Blakemore insists man-made global warming is real and says short-term, local weather patterns are no indication of long-term, regional climate. In his article he displays a graph from NOAAs National Climate Data Center showing ever accelerating decadal average global temperatures since 1880 caused by increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide. However, Joseph D'Aleo, a fellow with the American Meteorological Society, published a research paper in the September 2009 Monthly CO₂ Report of the Science and Public Policy Institute. In it, he pointed out the inherent errors of data from NOAA.

Many peer-reviewed papers show long-term global temperature trends have been exaggerated by 30 to 50 percent and sometimes much more. Urbanization, land-use changes, bad siting, bad instrumentation, and changes in ocean measurement techniques have adversely affected temperature measurement worldwide. NOAA has made matters worse by abandoning satellite ocean temperature measurement, which provided more complete coverage and was largely free from regional distortions. It is only because of these methodological errors that NOAA and other "global-warming" profiteers have been able to claim that we are in the warmest decade in 100 or even 1,000 years or more.

D'Aleo collected actual global temperature measurements without NOAA's distortions. The result is a graph of the 20th century showing obvious 60-70 year cycles of warming and cooling, with no statistically significant trends outside normal ranges. The temperatures are charted with data of contributing factors such as oceanic cycles and solar irradiance, revealing a striking link between them all. D'Aleo explained that recent warming should be expected since the Earth is in the middle of one of its normal cyclical warming trends, but that the 1930s are by far the hottest decade on record. D'Aleo summed up his research saying, "There is no need to take any action whatsoever ... to mitigate 'global warming,' which is minimal and cyclical."

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Flu-Bird said:

Nerotic greens Bill Blakemore is just your typical liberal left-wing journalists lying big time he sounds no different then AL GORE,JAMES HANSEN and the rest of the eco-maniacs who have been spending too much time meditating in their poppyfields smoking wacky weed from their hookas

January 08, 2010

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DonC said:

... As one who was a global cooling protester in the 1970s, I don't buy it. The sky was falling then, too, and supposed experts lamented the impact of man on crashing temperatures. No, you can waste your time supporting the flavor of the day climate issue, but I have heard the BS before and will not follow a red herring.

January 08, 2010

W Haider said:

Majib Latif You are misquoting Mojib Latif, or more likely quoting misquotes. What Mojib Latif, the world renouned climatologist said last August was that there would might be a decade or so of lower average tempature readings not 30 years of global cooling. Steady climate change but variations in surface temperatures. Very different things. See http://thingsbreak.wordpress.c...-cooling/. D'Alea is a meteorologist not a climatologist. Also very different things.

January 08, 2010

Bonnie said:

... There is no "climate crisis". Climate has changed in the past. It has been colder than it currently is. It has been warmer than it currently is. Both scenarios have occurred more than once. Both scenarios will occur again. It is a normal process. What happens when it does get warmer? Cold kills more people than heat, so fewer deaths in that regard. Warmer weather causes previous uninhabitable areas to become habitable, more than offsetting any low areas which MAY flood. There becomes more arable land and longer growing seasons, providing more food, which reduces famine. A warmer climate is more healthy. Global warming? I seriously doubt it is occurring. If it IS occurring, it is not man made, but natural. There is nothing anyone can do about it. And it would be good for us, anyway. Global warming? Bring it on!

January 08, 2010

Ladrones Mentira said:

Weather Correspondent David's Take He'd dead on target: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78schxZ7vZY ****

January 08, 2010 | url

ColdInTexas said:

... If global warming (climate change) causes more severe weather, then why is the "Global Tropical Cyclone Activity" trending down since 1994 and remains near 30-year + lows http://coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/ and "Number of Strong to Violent (F3-F5) Tornadoes" in US trending down since 1974 http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/c...otrend.jpg ? How many years would it take to show the beginning of a cooling trend?

January 08, 2010

Jack Eson said:

Change or natural, age old cycle Take everything that scientists tell you, disbelieve it as they only ever come up with theories, divide it by your grandmothers age, then throw it out and believe what you see with your own eyes. Predicting climate, or weather is to say the least an inexact science. Look to your own common sense folks. Remember one thing, scientists are human to, therefore fallable just like you and me

January 09, 2010

paul said:

AGW a corrupt "science" Complete analysis of Climategate emails. Scandal worse than thought: http://assassinationscience.com/climategate/

January 09, 2010 | url

rick g said:

... You saw the real climate debate recently in Copenhagen. Every left/commie in the world crawling out from under their rock to condemn capitalism with an enormous carbon footprint to host the meeting. Obviously the people at the top of this movement do not believe it themselves.

January 09, 2010

caerbannog1 said:

December 2009 was *not* colder than average globally This post of mine was voted down enough times so as to make it less visible to viewers. So I'm reposting it (with additional information). Rather interesting that a post with nothing more than straightforward information about temperatures from a *global* perspective would get voted down by so many here. Anyway, here it is again (with an additional "full planet" temperature map for December 2009). Folks are forgetting about the "global" in "global warming". And "globally", December 2009 was not unusually cool hemispherically or globally. In fact, the December 2009 global average temperature was significantly *above* the historical norm. Take a look at this image (Northern Hemisphere temps): http://nsidc.org/images/arctic...igure4.png Also, take a look at this image (global temps for December 2009): http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/co...-chart.jpg Note that although the continental US and northern Europe were colder than normal, the high Arctic, northeastern Siberia, northern Canada and Greenland were much warmer than normal. And in the southern hemisphere, most of Australia, South America, and Africa were *warmer than average* for December 2009. The major reason that people have concluded that December was so cold is that the cold spots were located where there are lots of people to notice the cold, whereas the warm spots were located where there are relatively few people to notice the (relative) warmth. That has given rise to the mistaken notion that December was exceptionally cold globally, when nothing could further from the truth as can be seen from the temperature maps I provided above.

January 09, 2010

Flu-Bird said:

Alaska shows up AL GORE Hey did you hear what they did up in ALASKA? Some people built a ice sculpter of AL GORE placed a truck in it so all that carbon,CO2 and HOT AIR would come out the mouth WOW THATS REALY FUNNY SQUAWK SQUAWK SQUAWK HYUK,HYUK,HYUK

January 09, 2010

Paul Friesen said:

... The post by caerbonnog raised a question. Why is the temperature going down in areas where there is man made warming and going up in areas where there are almost no men to cause it? The reason for global warming is the need by the statist left to have a crisis. If there were no crisis they would not be a need for them to take control. They want to control every aspect of our lives, and if they have to distort the truth in order to create the crisis so be it. The grants to study global warming go to its proponents most of which will say whatever it takes to stay on the list.

January 10, 2010

Don said:

Listen Paul is right 1000%, it is just a tool to gain control of our lives. The people that believe in this whoey need to wake up because it's a lie!!!! Al gore needs to have his prize ripped away from him because he did nothing. He is getting richer off of this scam. Wake up people....

January 10, 2010

Flu-Bird said:

Green Pagans The color of a radical new age movment which demands strict obedence to its deity of gaia whom they worship and make their daily bloody sacrifices of unborn childdrens and the elderly

January 11, 2010

ocbizlaw said:

What peer review? I have basis to judge the science itself and I won't pretend that I do. But I do make my living essentially by debate. My view, therefore, is this: setting aside all other evidence in the climategate e-mail scandal, I now find myself chuckling whenever I hear climate change scientists refer to peer review. The climategate e-mails show, if nothing else, that the only peer review permitted is peer review by like-thinking "researchers." Proponents of man made global warming eschew all debate with anyone professing a differing view and seek to suppress at all cost the publication of any critical research. Indeed, Stanford sued to suppress the inclusion in a documentary film of an interview given by one of its professors currently advocating man made global warming when he was questioned about the view he advocated during the 1970s that the world was facing an imminent ice age. In congressional hearings, Al Gore dismissed the testimony of scientists who questioned man made climate change based on his unsubstantiated claim that such scientists were all bought and paid for by the hydrocarbon lobby. Yet, when asked about his own financial interests and incredible wealth derived from the carbon trading scheme he has, in large part, created, he claimed that the questioner was seeking nothing more than to discredit him based on guilt by association. When you have the best of the argument, you don't hide from debate and suppress papers by critical authors like baby bunnies inadvertently deposited in the lion enclosure. You welcome critique so that you can show the superiority of your position. I do not think that anyone would argue that man made climate change proponents exhibit anything like the confidence that one has when one can prove the superiority of their position.

January 12, 2010

John A. Jauregui said:

Take Responsibility and Take Action Are you angry about this obvious RICO Act fraud and the national media's complicity in the cover-up, misinformation, reframing and misdirection of the issue and the related “carbon derivatives” market Obama’s Administration is spinning up? Take responsibility and take action. STOP all donations to the political party(s) responsible for this fraud. STOP donations to all environmental groups which funded this Global Warming propaganda campaign with our money, especially The Environmental Defense Fund. They have violated the public trust. KEEP donations local, close to home. MAKE donations to Oklahoma’s Senator Inhofe, the only politician to stand firmly against this obvious government/media coordinated information operation (propaganda) targeted at its own people. People that government leaders and employees are sworn to protect. WRITE your state and federal representatives demanding wall to wall investigations of government sponsored propaganda campaigns and demand indictments of those responsible. WRITE your state and federal Attorneys General demanding Al Gore and others conducting Global Warming/Climate Change racketeering and mail fraud operations be brought to justice, indicted, tried, convicted and jailed. Carbon is the stuff of life. He (Obama) who controls carbon, especially CO2, controls the world. Think of the consequences if you do nothing! For one, the UK is becoming the poster child for George Orwell’s “1984” and the US government’s sponsorship of this worldwide Global Warming propaganda campaign puts it in a class with the failed Soviet Union’s relentless violation of the basic human right to truthful government generated information. Given ClimateGate’s burgeoning revelations of outrageous government misconduct and massive covert misinformation, what are the chances that this Administration’s National Health Care sales campaign is anywhere near the truth? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6bdneX1djD0

January 12, 2010

Real Deal said:

Good article Great job of putting it into perspective. There is data for both sides, but the liberal media only gives us one side. Scientists also conspire to cover up any real data that doesn't agree with their prognosis, so they can continue to get government grants. Remember, if there's no "crisis", there are no grants.

January 20, 2010 | url