Friday, 10 October 2008

GM May Face Bankruptcy

Written by  Charles Scaliger

GM SignTriple-digit losses on the Dow are becoming a commonplace, but there are now ominous signs that the financial crisis of 2008 is entering a new and possibly more devastating phase. Thursday, October 9, saw the Dow plummet another 670 points, well below 9000 to a new five-year low. The latest catalyst for market decline is the likelihood that GM and possibly other automakers may soon be facing bankruptcy.

In a single day, GM shares lost 31 percent of their value to stand at under five dollars — a level not seen since 1950. GM's market capitalization now stands at about $2.6 billion, more than a billion dollars less than in 1929, right before the onset of the Great Depression. Shares of Ford Motor Corporation are at 26-year lows, and lost more than 20 percent of their value on Thursday.

By all accounts, the mood on Wall Street and among investors worldwide has reached the very brink of full-fledged panic. More than $8 trillion has already vanished this year, and the prospect of high-profile bankruptcies outside the financial sector has investors scurrying for cover.

The lessons from this unfolding saga are many, but a few are worth highlighting. For one thing, the $700 billion dollar bailout and all of the other interventions embarked upon by the Federal Reserve, the Treasury Department, and central banks overseas, have come to naught. What has happened is that U.S. taxpayers are hundreds of billions of dollars poorer, with nothing to show for it.

The American public is also learning the hard way that trying to spend our way out of recession by flooding the economy with more fiat (unbacked) moeny does not work in the long run. In the short run, printing money — or, as the money mandarins like to say, "injecting liquidity" — can create an appearance of economic miracles, in the same way that performance-enhancing drugs can temporarily confer unnatural strength. But eventually, the piper has to be paid and all the illusory money swept away as market forces have the final say.

In the long run, we are all dead, economist and fiat money champion john Maynard Keynes famously said, by way of dismissing the warnings of precious metal advocates on the long-term effects of an inflationary monetary policy. Wrong, Mr. Keynes. Under a fiat money system, in the long run, we are all bankrupt.

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